├── .github ├── CODEOWNERS ├── ISSUE_TEMPLATE │ ├── bug_report.yml │ ├── config.yml │ ├── documentation.yml │ ├── feature_request.yml │ ├── question.yml │ └── task.yml └── workflows │ ├── docs.yml │ ├── draft-pdf.yml │ ├── linting.yml │ ├── publish.yml │ └── tests.yml ├── .gitignore ├── .pre-commit-config.yaml ├── CITATION.cff ├── LICENSE.md ├── README.md ├── codemeta.json ├── config.yaml ├── data-dictionaries ├── ed_visits_data_dictionary.csv ├── ed_visits_data_dictionary.md ├── inpatient_arrivals_data_dictionary.csv └── inpatient_arrivals_data_dictionary.md ├── data-public └── .gitkeep ├── data-synthetic ├── ed_visits.csv ├── ed_visits_minimal.csv └── inpatient_arrivals.csv ├── docs ├── LICENSE.md ├── api.md ├── assets │ └── stylesheets │ │ └── custom.css ├── index.md ├── notebooks │ ├── 0_Set_up_your_environment.md │ ├── 1_Meet_the_users_of_our_predictions.md │ ├── 2a_Create_patient_snapshots.md │ ├── 2b_Predict_using_patient_snapshots.md │ ├── 2b_Predict_using_patient_snapshots_files │ │ └── 2b_Predict_using_patient_snapshots_28_0.png │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models.md │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_files │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_18_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_19_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_20_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_21_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_22_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_23_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_26_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_26_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_26_2.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_27_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_27_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_27_2.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_28_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_28_2.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_28_3.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_29_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_29_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_29_2.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_29_3.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_29_4.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_30_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_30_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_30_2.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_30_3.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_30_4.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_31_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_31_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_31_2.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_31_3.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_31_4.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_32_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_32_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_32_3.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_32_5.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_32_7.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_32_9.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_33_0.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_11.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_14.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_2.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_3.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_5.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_7.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_8.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_34_9.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_35_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_35_3.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_35_5.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_35_7.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_35_9.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_1.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_11.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_14.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_2.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_3.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_5.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_7.png │ │ ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_8.png │ │ └── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models_36_9.png │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided.md │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_files │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_20_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_22_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_23_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_24_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_25_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_26_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_27_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_28_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_28_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_28_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_28_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_29_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_31_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_31_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_31_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_31_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_32_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_10.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_11.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_4.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_5.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_6.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_7.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_8.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_33_9.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_35_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_10.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_11.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_4.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_5.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_6.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_7.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_8.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_36_9.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_10.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_11.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_12.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_13.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_4.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_5.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_6.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_7.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_8.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_38_9.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_40_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_10.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_11.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_12.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_13.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_4.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_5.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_6.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_7.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_8.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_41_9.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_42_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_43_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_44_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_45_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_46_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_47_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_48_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_48_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_48_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_49_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_51_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_51_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_51_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_52_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_52_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_52_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_52_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_52_4.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_52_5.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_52_6.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_52_7.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_4.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_5.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_6.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_7.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_8.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_54_9.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_56_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_56_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_56_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_56_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_56_4.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_56_5.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_56_6.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_56_7.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_1.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_2.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_3.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_4.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_5.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_6.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_7.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_8.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_58_9.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_60_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_61_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_62_0.png │ │ ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_65_0.png │ │ └── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided_66_0.png │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots.md │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_files │ │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_19_0.png │ │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_20_0.png │ │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_26_0.png │ │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_27_0.png │ │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_28_0.png │ │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_29_0.png │ │ ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_34_0.png │ │ └── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots_35_0.png │ ├── 3b_Evaluate_group_snapshots.md │ ├── 3b_Evaluate_group_snapshots_files │ │ ├── 3b_Evaluate_group_snapshots_15_0.png │ │ ├── 3b_Evaluate_group_snapshots_18_0.png │ │ ├── 3b_Evaluate_group_snapshots_19_0.png │ │ ├── 3b_Evaluate_group_snapshots_21_0.png │ │ └── 3b_Evaluate_group_snapshots_24_0.png │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots.md │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_files │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_15_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_17_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_19_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_19_1.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_21_1.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_23_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_25_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_27_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_31_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_32_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_33_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_34_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_37_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_37_1.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_37_2.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_37_3.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_39_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_43_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_51_0.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_51_1.png │ │ ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_54_0.png │ │ └── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots_58_0.png │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups.md │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_files │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_23_1.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_23_3.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_23_5.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_23_7.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_23_9.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_24_0.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_24_1.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_24_2.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_24_3.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_26_0.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_26_1.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_26_3.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_28_0.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_28_1.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_30_0.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_30_1.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_30_2.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_30_3.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_30_4.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_32_0.png │ │ ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_34_0.png │ │ └── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups_34_1.png │ ├── 4a_Specify_emergency_demand_model.md │ ├── 4a_Specify_emergency_demand_model_files │ │ └── 4a_Specify_emergency_demand_model_1_0.jpg │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand.md │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_files │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_23_0.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_23_1.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_23_2.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_23_3.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_24_0.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_24_1.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_24_2.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_24_3.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_25_0.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_25_1.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_25_2.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_25_3.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_27_0.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_27_1.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_27_2.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_27_3.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_28_0.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_28_1.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_28_2.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_28_3.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_29_0.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_29_1.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_29_2.png │ │ ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_29_3.png │ │ └── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand_33_0.png │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions.md │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_files │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_20_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_20_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_20_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_20_3.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_21_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_21_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_21_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_21_3.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_22_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_22_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_22_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_22_3.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_23_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_23_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_23_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_23_3.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_25_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_25_10.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_25_11.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_25_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_25_4.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_25_5.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_25_7.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_25_8.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_26_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_26_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_26_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_26_3.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_27_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_27_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_27_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_27_3.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_28_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_28_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_28_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_28_3.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_29_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_29_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_29_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_29_3.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_29_4.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_30_0.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_30_1.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_30_2.png │ │ ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_30_3.png │ │ └── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions_30_4.png │ ├── 4d_Predict_emergency_demand_with_special_categories.md │ ├── 4d_Predict_emergency_demand_with_special_categories_files │ │ ├── 4d_Predict_emergency_demand_with_special_categories_28_1.png │ 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4d_Predict_emergency_demand_with_special_categories_29_8.png │ ├── README.md │ └── update_notebook_links.py ├── overrides │ └── main.html └── src │ └── patientflow │ └── README.md ├── environment.yml ├── mkdocs.yml ├── mypy.ini ├── notebooks ├── 0_Set_up_your_environment.ipynb ├── 1_Meet_the_users_of_our_predictions.ipynb ├── 2a_Create_patient_snapshots.ipynb ├── 2b_Predict_using_patient_snapshots.ipynb ├── 2c_Evaluate_patient_snapshot_models.ipynb ├── 2d_Explore_the_datasets_provided.ipynb ├── 3a_Prepare_group_snapshots.ipynb ├── 3b_Evaluate_group_snapshots.ipynb ├── 3c_Predict_bed_counts_without_using_patient_snapshots.ipynb ├── 3d_Predict_bed_counts_for_subgroups.ipynb ├── 4a_Specify_emergency_demand_model.ipynb ├── 4b_Predict_emergency_demand.ipynb ├── 4c_Evaluate_emergency_demand_predictions.ipynb ├── 4d_Predict_emergency_demand_with_special_categories.ipynb ├── README.md ├── explore_prediction_bundles.ipynb └── img │ ├── thumbnail_KingsFund_AE_performance.png │ ├── thumbnail_NHSR_webinar.jpg │ └── thumbnail_UCLH_application.jpg ├── paper ├── paper.bib ├── paper.md └── paper.pdf ├── pyproject.toml ├── schemas └── github-issue-forms.json ├── src └── patientflow │ ├── README.md │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── aggregate.py │ ├── calculate │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── admission_in_prediction_window.py │ ├── arrival_rates.py │ └── survival_curve.py │ ├── errors.py │ ├── evaluate.py │ ├── generate.py │ ├── load.py │ ├── model-input │ ├── consults-mapping.csv │ └── reporting_hierarchy.csv │ ├── model_artifacts.py │ ├── predict │ ├── __init__.py │ └── emergency_demand.py │ ├── predictors │ ├── README.md │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── incoming_admission_predictors.py │ ├── legacy_compatibility.py │ ├── sequence_to_outcome_predictor.py │ ├── subgroup_predictor.py │ └── value_to_outcome_predictor.py │ ├── prepare.py │ ├── survival_curve.py │ ├── train │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── classifiers.py │ ├── emergency_demand.py │ ├── incoming_admission_predictor.py │ ├── sequence_predictor.py │ └── utils.py │ └── viz │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── arrival_rates.py │ ├── aspirational_curve.py │ ├── calibration.py │ ├── data_distribution.py │ ├── epudd.py │ ├── estimated_probabilities.py │ ├── features.py │ ├── madcap.py │ ├── observed_against_expected.py │ ├── probability_distribution.py │ ├── quantile_quantile.py │ ├── randomised_pit.py │ ├── shap.py │ ├── survival_curve.py │ ├── trial_results.py │ └── utils.py ├── tests ├── test_aggregate.py ├── test_arrival_rates.py ├── test_classifiers.py ├── test_create_predictions.py ├── test_incoming_admission_predictors.py ├── test_prepare_group_snapshot_dict.py ├── test_sequence_to_outcome_predictor.py ├── test_subgroup_predictor.py └── test_value_to_outcome_predictor.py └── trained-models └── .gitkeep /.github/CODEOWNERS: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 | # CODEOWNERS file 2 | * @zmek 3 | 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