├── PVUV_Forecast ├── Finals │ ├── 5th.py │ ├── XYZ(决赛第三名 初赛第四名)-答辩PPT.pdf │ ├── first.py │ ├── third.py │ └── 天涯共此时(决赛第一名 初赛第三名)-答辩PPT.pptx └── Preliminaries │ ├── 4th.py │ ├── 5th.py │ ├── 8th.py │ ├── second.py │ └── third.py └── PVUV_Forecast_Algo ├── Finals ├── 5th.py ├── XYZ(决赛第三名 初赛第四名)-答辩PPT.pdf ├── code(1)_大鸭 │ └── code │ │ ├── Readme.md │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ ├── config.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── config.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── model_a.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── model_a.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── model_b.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── model_b.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── model_c.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── model_c.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── model_d.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── model_d.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── model_e.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── model_e.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── model_eeee.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── model_f.cpython-36.pyc │ │ └── model_f.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── config.py │ │ ├── data │ │ └── kpi_train_new.csv │ │ ├── fileio │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── data_reader.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── data_reader.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── df_tools.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ └── df_tools.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── data_reader.py │ │ └── df_tools.py │ │ ├── model_a.py │ │ ├── model_b.py │ │ ├── model_c.py │ │ ├── model_d.py │ │ ├── model_e.py │ │ ├── model_f.py │ │ ├── models │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── base.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── base.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── cross_validation.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── cross_validation.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── fusion.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── fusion.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── model.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── model.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── simple_filling.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── simple_filling.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── statespace.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ └── statespace.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── base.py │ │ ├── cross_validation.py │ │ ├── fusion.py │ │ ├── model.py │ │ ├── simple_filling.py │ │ └── statespace.py │ │ ├── processing │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── dataset_generator.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── dataset_generator.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── feature.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ ├── feature.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── preprocessing.cpython-36.pyc │ │ │ └── preprocessing.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── dataset_generator.py │ │ ├── feature.py │ │ └── preprocessing.py │ │ ├── run.py │ │ ├── submit_sample.csv │ │ └── utils │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── evaluation.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── submission.cpython-36.pyc │ │ └── submission.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── evaluation.py │ │ └── submission.py ├── first.py ├── second │ └── stage2_code │ │ ├── .idea │ │ ├── misc.xml │ │ ├── modules.xml │ │ ├── stage2_code.iml │ │ └── workspace.xml │ │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ └── data_process.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── data_process.py │ │ ├── lightgbm_model.py │ │ ├── linear_model.py │ │ ├── params.py │ │ ├── run.py │ │ └── tbats │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── abstract │ │ ├── ArrayHelper.py │ │ ├── Case.py │ │ ├── ComponentMatrix.py │ │ ├── Components.py │ │ ├── ContextInterface.py │ │ ├── Estimator.py │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.py │ │ ├── MatrixBuilderCache.py │ │ ├── MatrixBuilderInterface.py │ │ ├── Model.py │ │ ├── ModelParams.py │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.py │ │ ├── SeedFinder.py │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ └── __pycache__ │ │ │ ├── ArrayHelper.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Case.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ComponentMatrix.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Components.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ContextInterface.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Estimator.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── MatrixBuilderCache.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── MatrixBuilderInterface.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Model.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ModelParams.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── SeedFinder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── bats │ │ ├── BATS.py │ │ ├── Case.py │ │ ├── Components.py │ │ ├── Context.py │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.py │ │ ├── Model.py │ │ ├── ModelParams.py │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.py │ │ ├── SeedFinder.py │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ └── __pycache__ │ │ │ ├── BATS.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Case.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Components.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Context.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Model.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ModelParams.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── SeedFinder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── error │ │ ├── BatsException.py │ │ ├── BatsWarning.py │ │ ├── ExceptionHandler.py │ │ ├── InputArgsException.py │ │ ├── InputArgsWarning.py │ │ ├── ModelWarning.py │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ └── __pycache__ │ │ │ ├── BatsException.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── BatsWarning.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ExceptionHandler.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── InputArgsException.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── InputArgsWarning.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ModelWarning.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── tbats │ │ ├── Case.py │ │ ├── Components.py │ │ ├── Context.py │ │ ├── HarmonicsChoosingStrategy.py │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.py │ │ ├── Model.py │ │ ├── ModelParams.py │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.py │ │ ├── SeedFinder.py │ │ ├── TBATS.py │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ └── __pycache__ │ │ │ ├── Case.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Components.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Context.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── HarmonicsChoosingStrategy.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── Model.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ModelParams.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── SeedFinder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ ├── TBATS.cpython-37.pyc │ │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ │ └── transformation │ │ ├── BoxCox.py │ │ ├── Guerrero.py │ │ ├── __init__.py │ │ └── __pycache__ │ │ ├── BoxCox.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Guerrero.cpython-37.pyc │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc ├── third.py ├── 天涯共此时(决赛第一名 初赛第三名)-答辩PPT.pptx ├── 橘冯jin(决赛第五名 预赛第五名)-答辩PPT.pdf └── 流星雨团队(决赛第二名 初赛第六名)-答辩PPT.ppt └── Preliminaries ├── 1-大腿烤鸭团-0.14084 ├── Readme.md ├── __init__.py ├── __pycache__ │ ├── config.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── model_a.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── model_b.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── model_c.cpython-36.pyc │ └── model_d.cpython-36.pyc ├── config.py ├── fileio │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── data_reader.cpython-36.pyc │ │ └── df_tools.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── data_reader.py │ └── df_tools.py ├── model_a.py ├── model_b.py ├── model_c.py ├── model_d.py ├── models │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── base.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── cross_validation.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── fusion.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── model.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── simple_filling.cpython-36.pyc │ │ └── statespace.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── base.py │ ├── cross_validation.py │ ├── fusion.py │ ├── model.py │ ├── simple_filling.py │ └── statespace.py ├── processing │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── __pycache__ │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── dataset_generator.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── feature.cpython-36.pyc │ │ └── preprocessing.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── dataset_generator.py │ ├── feature.py │ └── preprocessing.py ├── run.py ├── submit_sample.csv └── utils │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── __pycache__ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── evaluation.cpython-36.pyc │ └── submission.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── evaluation.py │ └── submission.py ├── 2-黄粱一梦-0.160739 ├── __MACOSX │ ├── ._requirements.txt │ └── ._submition_one_dream.py ├── code.py ├── readme.md ├── requirements.txt ├── submission.csv └── submition_one_dream.py ├── 3-天涯共此时-0.164813 ├── __MACOSX │ └── 源码 │ │ ├── ._main_model.py │ │ └── ._reademe.txt └── 源码 │ ├── code.py │ └── reademe.txt ├── 4th.py ├── 5th.py ├── 6-流星雨-0.265439 └── recurrence_code │ ├── .idea │ ├── code.iml │ ├── misc.xml │ ├── modules.xml │ └── workspace.xml │ ├── __pycache__ │ ├── data_process.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── data_process.cpython-37.pyc │ ├── linear_model.cpython-36.pyc │ ├── linear_model.cpython-37.pyc │ ├── params.cpython-36.pyc │ └── params.cpython-37.pyc │ ├── data_process.py │ ├── final_result.csv │ ├── gbdt_test.py │ ├── linear_model.py │ ├── params.py │ ├── processed_data │ ├── p_pv.csv │ ├── p_uv.csv │ ├── r_pv.csv │ ├── r_uv.csv │ └── train_2.csv │ ├── run.py │ └── tbats │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── __pycache__ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ ├── abstract │ ├── ArrayHelper.py │ ├── Case.py │ ├── ComponentMatrix.py │ ├── Components.py │ ├── ContextInterface.py │ ├── Estimator.py │ ├── MatrixBuilder.py │ ├── MatrixBuilderCache.py │ ├── MatrixBuilderInterface.py │ ├── Model.py │ ├── ModelParams.py │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.py │ ├── SeedFinder.py │ ├── __init__.py │ └── __pycache__ │ │ ├── ArrayHelper.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ArrayHelper.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Case.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Case.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── ComponentMatrix.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ComponentMatrix.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Components.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Components.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── ContextInterface.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ContextInterface.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Estimator.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Estimator.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── MatrixBuilderCache.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── MatrixBuilderCache.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── MatrixBuilderInterface.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── MatrixBuilderInterface.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Model.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Model.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── ModelParams.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ModelParams.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── SeedFinder.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── SeedFinder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ ├── bats │ ├── BATS.py │ ├── Case.py │ ├── Components.py │ ├── Context.py │ ├── MatrixBuilder.py │ ├── Model.py │ ├── ModelParams.py │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.py │ ├── SeedFinder.py │ ├── __init__.py │ └── __pycache__ │ │ ├── BATS.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── BATS.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Case.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Case.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Components.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Components.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Context.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Context.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── MatrixBuilder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Model.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Model.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── ModelParams.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ModelParams.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── SeedFinder.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── SeedFinder.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ ├── error │ ├── BatsException.py │ ├── BatsWarning.py │ ├── ExceptionHandler.py │ ├── InputArgsException.py │ ├── InputArgsWarning.py │ ├── ModelWarning.py │ ├── __init__.py │ └── __pycache__ │ │ ├── BatsException.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── BatsException.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── BatsWarning.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── BatsWarning.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── ExceptionHandler.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ExceptionHandler.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── InputArgsException.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── InputArgsException.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── InputArgsWarning.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── InputArgsWarning.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── ModelWarning.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── ModelWarning.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── __init__.cpython-36.pyc │ │ └── __init__.cpython-37.pyc │ ├── tbats │ ├── Case.py │ ├── Components.py │ ├── Context.py │ ├── HarmonicsChoosingStrategy.py │ ├── MatrixBuilder.py │ ├── Model.py │ ├── ModelParams.py │ ├── ParamsOptimizer.py │ ├── SeedFinder.py │ ├── TBATS.py │ ├── __init__.py │ └── __pycache__ │ │ ├── Case.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Case.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Components.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Components.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── Context.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── Context.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── HarmonicsChoosingStrategy.cpython-36.pyc │ │ ├── HarmonicsChoosingStrategy.cpython-37.pyc │ │ ├── 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