├── README.md ├── LICENSE └── talent-vs-luck.nlogo /README.md: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 | # Talent vs Luck Model 2 | 3 | A Netlogo model that tried to recreate the model described in [Talent vs Luck: the role of randomness in success and failure](), by A. Pluchino. A. E. Biondo, A. Rapisarda 4 | 5 | # How to run 6 | 7 | To learn how to use this model, and what it describes, [click here](https://goo.gl/gDLYcn). 8 | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- /LICENSE: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 | MIT License 2 | 3 | Copyright (c) 2018 Joshua Balloch 4 | 5 | Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy 6 | of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal 7 | in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights 8 | to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell 9 | copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is 10 | furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions: 11 | 12 | The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all 13 | copies or substantial portions of the Software. 14 | 15 | THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR 16 | IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, 17 | FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE 18 | AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER 19 | LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, 20 | OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE 21 | SOFTWARE. 22 | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- /talent-vs-luck.nlogo: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 | extensions [csv] 2 | 3 | globals [capital-list talent-list] 4 | breed [ lucky-events lucky-event ] 5 | breed [ unlucky-events unlucky-event ] 6 | breed [ people person ] 7 | turtles-own [ xc yc ] 8 | people-own [capital talent outlist ] 9 | 10 | to setup 11 | clear-all 12 | 13 | create-lucky-events initial-number-lucky-events 14 | [ 15 | set shape "dot" 16 | set color green 17 | set size 2 ; easier to see 18 | set label-color blue - 2 19 | setxy random-xcor random-ycor 20 | ] 21 | create-unlucky-events initial-number-unlucky-events 22 | [ 23 | set shape "dot" 24 | set color red 25 | set size 2 ; easier to see 26 | set label-color red - 2 27 | setxy random-xcor random-ycor 28 | ] 29 | 30 | create-people initial-number-people 31 | [ 32 | set shape "person" 33 | set color brown 34 | set size 3 ; easier to see 35 | set capital initial-capital 36 | set talent random-normal mean-talent talent-std-dev 37 | set outlist [] 38 | setxy random-xcor random-ycor 39 | ] 40 | display-labels 41 | reset-ticks 42 | end 43 | 44 | to go 45 | if ticks >= career-length * 2 [ 46 | export-capital-vals 47 | stop 48 | ] 49 | ask lucky-events [ 50 | move 51 | ] 52 | ask unlucky-events [ 53 | move 54 | ] 55 | ask people [ 56 | if people-move [ move ] 57 | interact-with-events 58 | 59 | set outlist list (talent) (capital) 60 | ] 61 | tick 62 | display-labels 63 | end 64 | 65 | to interact-with-events 66 | if events-die = true 67 | [ interact-with-events-that-die ] 68 | if events-die = false 69 | [ interact-with-events-persistent ] 70 | end 71 | 72 | to interact-with-events-that-die 73 | let lucky-event-prey one-of lucky-events-here 74 | if lucky-event-prey != nobody [ 75 | ask lucky-event-prey [ die ] 76 | if (talent > random 1) [ 77 | set capital capital * 2 78 | ] 79 | ] 80 | let unlucky-event-prey one-of unlucky-events-here 81 | if unlucky-event-prey != nobody [ 82 | ask unlucky-event-prey [ die ] 83 | if (talent > random 1) [ 84 | set capital capital / 2 85 | ] 86 | ] 87 | end 88 | 89 | to interact-with-events-persistent 90 | if count (lucky-events-here) >= 1 and (talent > random 1) 91 | [ set capital capital * 2 ] 92 | if count unlucky-events-here >= 1 93 | [ set capital capital / 2 ] 94 | end 95 | 96 | to move ; turtle procedure 97 | rt random-float 360 98 | fd move-speed 99 | end 100 | 101 | to display-labels 102 | ask turtles [ set label "" ] 103 | if show-capital? [ 104 | ask people [ set label round capital ] 105 | ] 106 | end 107 | 108 | to export-capital-vals 109 | 110 | carefully [file-delete "output.csv"] [] 111 | 112 | csv:to-file "output.csv" map [ [t] -> [outlist] of t ] sort people 113 | 114 | end 115 | @#$#@#$#@ 116 | GRAPHICS-WINDOW 117 | 479 118 | 15 119 | 886 120 | 423 121 | -1 122 | -1 123 | 7.84314 124 | 1 125 | 14 126 | 1 127 | 1 128 | 1 129 | 0 130 | 1 131 | 1 132 | 1 133 | -25 134 | 25 135 | -25 136 | 25 137 | 1 138 | 1 139 | 1 140 | ticks 141 | 30.0 142 | 143 | BUTTON 144 | 160 145 | 350 146 | 229 147 | 383 148 | setup 149 | setup 150 | NIL 151 | 1 152 | T 153 | OBSERVER 154 | NIL 155 | NIL 156 | NIL 157 | NIL 158 | 1 159 | 160 | BUTTON 161 | 230 162 | 350 163 | 305 164 | 383 165 | go 166 | go 167 | T 168 | 1 169 | T 170 | OBSERVER 171 | NIL 172 | NIL 173 | NIL 174 | NIL 175 | 0 176 | 177 | SWITCH 178 | 5 179 | 270 180 | 147 181 | 303 182 | show-capital? 183 | show-capital? 184 | 1 185 | 1 186 | -1000 187 | 188 | INPUTBOX 189 | 5 190 | 130 191 | 230 192 | 190 193 | mean-talent 194 | 0.6 195 | 1 196 | 0 197 | Number 198 | 199 | INPUTBOX 200 | 230 201 | 130 202 | 459 203 | 190 204 | talent-std-dev 205 | 0.1 206 | 1 207 | 0 208 | Number 209 | 210 | INPUTBOX 211 | 5 212 | 10 213 | 230 214 | 70 215 | career-length 216 | 40.0 217 | 1 218 | 0 219 | Number 220 | 221 | INPUTBOX 222 | 5 223 | 70 224 | 230 225 | 130 226 | initial-number-lucky-events 227 | 250.0 228 | 1 229 | 0 230 | Number 231 | 232 | INPUTBOX 233 | 230 234 | 10 235 | 459 236 | 70 237 | initial-number-people 238 | 1000.0 239 | 1 240 | 0 241 | Number 242 | 243 | INPUTBOX 244 | 230 245 | 70 246 | 459 247 | 130 248 | initial-number-unlucky-events 249 | 250.0 250 | 1 251 | 0 252 | Number 253 | 254 | INPUTBOX 255 | 5 256 | 190 257 | 230 258 | 250 259 | initial-capital 260 | 10.0 261 | 1 262 | 0 263 | Number 264 | 265 | INPUTBOX 266 | 230 267 | 190 268 | 460 269 | 250 270 | move-speed 271 | 20.0 272 | 1 273 | 0 274 | Number 275 | 276 | MONITOR 277 | 10 278 | 395 279 | 92 280 | 440 281 | Max Capital 282 | max [capital] of people 283 | 17 284 | 1 285 | 11 286 | 287 | SWITCH 288 | 5 289 | 305 290 | 142 291 | 338 292 | people-move 293 | people-move 294 | 1 295 | 1 296 | -1000 297 | 298 | MONITOR 299 | 115 300 | 395 301 | 387 302 | 440 303 | Talent of Highest Earner(s) 304 | [talent] of people with-max [capital] 305 | 17 306 | 1 307 | 11 308 | 309 | SWITCH 310 | 150 311 | 270 312 | 272 313 | 303 314 | events-die 315 | events-die 316 | 1 317 | 1 318 | -1000 319 | 320 | @#$#@#$#@ 321 | ## WHAT IS IT? 322 | 323 | This model tries to create a similar Netlogo model as the one explored in the Talent vs Luck model proposed by A. Pluchino. A. E. Biondo, A. Rapisarda, in their paper "Talent vs Luck: the role of randomness in success and failure". 324 | 325 | All credits go to Pluchino, Biondo, and Rapisarda for the original model; it is simply an attempt to create netlogo example that resembles what they wrote. 326 | 327 | ## HOW IT WORKS 328 | 329 | 330 | ## HOW TO USE IT 331 | 332 | 1. Set the inputs as desired 333 | 2. Press SETUP 334 | 3. Press GO 335 | 336 | ## THINGS TO NOTICE 337 | 338 | ## THINGS TO TRY 339 | 340 | ## EXTENDING THE MODEL 341 | 342 | ## NETLOGO FEATURES 343 | 344 | 345 | ## RELATED MODELS 346 | 347 | 348 | ## CREDITS AND REFERENCES 349 | 350 | Inspiration was to build a similar model as from: 351 | 352 | Pluchino, A. & Biondo, A. E. & Rapisarda, A. (2018). Talent vs Luck: the role of randomness in success and failure, submitted February 20, 2018 and revised February 25, 2018, LINK: https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.07068 353 | 354 | 355 | ## HOW TO CITE 356 | 357 | If you mention this model or the NetLogo software in a publication, we ask that you include citations. 358 | 359 | For the model itself: 360 | 361 | Pluchino, A. & Biondo, A. E. & Rapisarda, A. (2018). Talent vs Luck: the role of randomness in success and failure, submitted February 20, 2018 and revised February 25, 2018, LINK: https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.07068 362 | 363 | Please cite the NetLogo software as: 364 | 365 | * Wilensky, U. (1999). NetLogo. http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/. Center for Connected Learning and Computer-Based Modeling, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. 366 | 367 | ## COPYRIGHT AND LICENSE 368 | 369 | Copyright 2018 Joshua Balloch 370 | 371 | Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions: 372 | 373 | The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all copies or substantial portions of the Software. 374 | 375 | THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE. 376 | @#$#@#$#@ 377 | default 378 | true 379 | 0 380 | Polygon -7500403 true true 150 5 40 250 150 205 260 250 381 | 382 | airplane 383 | true 384 | 0 385 | Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 135 15 120 60 120 105 15 165 15 195 120 180 135 240 105 270 120 285 150 270 180 285 210 270 165 240 180 180 285 195 285 165 180 105 180 60 165 15 386 | 387 | arrow 388 | true 389 | 0 390 | Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 0 150 105 150 105 293 195 293 195 150 300 150 391 | 392 | box 393 | false 394 | 0 395 | Polygon -7500403 true true 150 285 285 225 285 75 150 135 396 | Polygon -7500403 true true 150 135 15 75 150 15 285 75 397 | Polygon -7500403 true true 15 75 15 225 150 285 150 135 398 | Line -16777216 false 150 285 150 135 399 | Line 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@#$#@#$#@ 703 | 1 704 | @#$#@#$#@ 705 | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------