├── .gitattributes ├── 2016 Data └── 2016 Season Data │ ├── Expert Analysis.xlsx │ ├── Week1_projections.csv │ ├── Week2_projections.csv │ ├── Week3_projections.csv │ ├── Week4_projections.csv │ ├── Week5_projections.csv │ └── Week6_projections.csv ├── DK Contests ├── .RData ├── .Rhistory ├── Contest Analysis.R ├── Contest Master R File.xlsx ├── DK 2017 Weeks 1-6 Contest Results │ ├── Contest entry master by week.xlsx │ ├── Optimization Parameters Table V2.xlsx │ ├── Week 1 │ │ ├── contest results │ │ │ ├── Import Week 1.zip │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 DOUBLE UP (THU).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 DOUBLE UP.csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 QUINTUPLE UP [TOP 25 WIN $5] (THU).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 TRIPLE UP [TOP 30 WIN $3] (THU).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 DOUBLE UP (THU).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 TRIPLE UP [TOP 18 WIN $30] (THU).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $25K HAIL MARY (THU).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $50K FIRST DOWN (THU).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL GIANT $10 DOUBLE UP (THU).csv │ │ │ └── NFL GIANT $10 DOUBLE UP (THU).csv.xlsx │ │ └── model related │ │ │ ├── Contest data collection- Names and DOE.xlsx │ │ │ ├── Results analysis.twb │ │ │ ├── Week 1 Fake Projections.xlsx │ │ │ ├── Week 1 Ownership analysis.xlsx │ │ │ ├── Week 1 Salary.csv │ │ │ └── ownership look.twb │ ├── Week 2 │ │ ├── contest results │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Double up (Thurs).xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Double up.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Triple Up (Top 60 Win $3) (multi-entry) (thu).xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 Double Up (Thu).xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 Triple Up (Top 18 Win $30) (thu).xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $25k Hail Mary.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $25k first down (thu).xlsx │ │ │ └── NFL GIANT $10 Double Up.xlsx │ │ └── model related │ │ │ ├── DKSalaries Week 2.csv │ │ │ └── Week 2 Projections.xlsx │ ├── Week 3 │ │ ├── contest results wk 3 │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Double up Small.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Double up.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Triple Up (top 18 win $3).xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 Double up.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 Triple Up (top 9 win $30).xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $25K Hail Mary.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $3k First down T-M.xlsx │ │ │ └── NFL Giant $10 Double up1.xlsx │ │ └── model related │ │ │ ├── DKSalaries Week 3 13 games only.csv │ │ │ ├── DKSalaries Week 3 13 games only.xlsx │ │ │ ├── DKSalaries Week 3.csv │ │ │ ├── Week 3 model inputs - salary and exp points.xlsx │ │ │ └── Week 3 model inputs with GPP ownership and actual points.xlsx │ ├── Week 4 │ │ ├── contest results │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Double up Large.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Double.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 Triple up (top 30 wins $3).xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 Double.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 Triple up (top 30 wins $30).xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $20K first down thurs-Mon.xlsx │ │ │ ├── NFL $50K Post Pattern Large.xlsx │ │ │ └── NFL Giant $10 Double up.xlsx │ │ └── model related │ │ │ ├── Player names who showed up in DK salary but not prediction.xlsx │ │ │ ├── Sunday only salaries week 4.xlsx │ │ │ ├── Thurs - Mon Salary File week 3.xlsx │ │ │ ├── Thurs - Mon Salary File.xlsx │ │ │ ├── contests entered 12 games.csv │ │ │ ├── week 4 model inputs Thurs - Mon.xlsx │ │ │ └── week 4 model inputs.xlsx │ ├── Week 5 │ │ ├── Wk 5 results CSVs │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 DOUBLE UP (THU-MON).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $1 TRIPLE UP (TOP 30 WIN $3) (THU-MON).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 DOUBLE UP (THU-MON).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $10 TRIPLE UP [TOP 30 WIN $30] (MULTI-ENTRY) (THU-MON).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $2 DOUBLE UP (THU-MON).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $25K FIRST DOWN (THU-MON).csv │ │ │ ├── NFL $88K POST PATTERN (THU-MON).csv │ │ │ └── NFL SINGLE ENTRY $5 DOUBLE UP (THU-MON).csv │ │ └── model related │ │ │ └── DKSalaries M-T 14 Games.csv │ └── Week 6 │ │ └── Model Related │ │ ├── Contest Results Week 6 │ │ ├── NFL $1 DOUBLE UP (THU-MON) Large.csv │ │ ├── NFL $1 DOUBLE UP (THU-MON) Small.csv │ │ ├── NFL $1 TRIPLE UP [TOP 60 WIN $3] (MULTI-ENTRY) (THU-MON).csv │ │ ├── NFL $10 DOUBLE UP (THU-MON) Small.csv │ │ ├── NFL $10 TRIPLE UP [TOP 30 WIN $30] (MULTI-ENTRY) (THU-MON).csv │ │ ├── NFL $30K FIRST DOWN (THU-MON).csv │ │ ├── NFL GIANT $10 DOUBLE UP (THU-MON).csv │ │ └── post pattern large gpp.csv │ │ └── DKSalaries Week 6 14 games.csv └── GPPs weeks 1-6 │ ├── GPP payouts w1-6.xlsx │ ├── Week 1 │ ├── NFL $25K Hail Mary (Thu).csv │ └── NFL $50K First Down (Thu).csv │ ├── Week 2 │ ├── NFL $25K FIRST DOWN (THU).csv │ └── NFL $25K Hail Mary (Thu).csv │ ├── Week 3 │ ├── NFL $25K Hail Mary.csv │ └── NFL $3K FIRST DOWN (THU-MON).csv │ ├── Week 4 │ ├── NFL $20K FIRST DOWN (THU-MON).csv │ └── NFL $50K POST PATTERN (THU-MON).csv │ ├── Week 5 │ ├── NFL $25K FIRST DOWN (THU-MON).csv │ └── NFL $88K POST PATTERN (THU-MON).csv │ └── Week 6 │ ├── NFL $30K FIRST DOWN (THU-MON).csv │ └── NFL $75K POST PATTERN (THU-MON).csv ├── Graphics ├── DraftKings_ Payout_Breakdown.png ├── Lineup Analysis.twb ├── Profitability by Scenario.png ├── avg_vs_stdev.png ├── basic_model_formulation.png ├── boombustholla.png ├── boxplots.png ├── contest_breakdown.png ├── dk_dash.png ├── fpts_by_iter.png ├── improved_model_formulation.png ├── lineupreqs.png ├── max_stdev by pos.png ├── need_diversity.png ├── pctile_stdevs_by_pos.png ├── predicted_versus_actual.png ├── projected versus actual.png ├── scenario differences.png ├── scenario_heat_map.png └── ~Lineup Analysis__4480.twbr ├── Input ├── .Rhistory ├── LineupCO │ ├── Week 1 Total Model Inputs.xlsx │ ├── Week 2 Total Model Inputs.xlsx │ ├── Week 3 Total Model Inputs.xlsx │ ├── Week 4 Total Model Inputs.xlsx │ ├── Week 5 Total Model Inputs.xlsx │ ├── Week 6 Total Model Inputs.xlsx │ ├── Week 7 Model Inputs- No ownership or actual points.xlsx │ ├── Week1_LU.csv │ ├── Week2_LU.csv │ ├── Week3_LU.csv │ ├── Week4_LU.csv │ ├── Week5_LU.csv │ ├── Week6_LU.csv │ └── Week7_LU.csv ├── Optimization Parameters Table Demo.xlsx ├── Optimization Parameters Table Demo2.xlsx ├── Optimization Parameters Table.xlsx ├── Week3Ownership.csv ├── Week3_LU.csv ├── full_factorial_design.R ├── fullfactorial.csv └── xold │ ├── ActualW1.csv │ ├── ActualW2.csv │ ├── ActualW3.csv │ ├── DKSalaries.csv │ ├── DKSalaries_W3.csv │ ├── Week4.csv │ ├── Week4Sun.csv │ └── week 4 model inputs.xlsx ├── Lineup Generations ├── Large_run │ ├── Large_Lineup_Analysis.twb │ ├── PredictionsWeek1.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek2.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek3.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek4.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek5.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek6.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek7.csv │ ├── large_aggregated_lineups.csv │ └── ~Large_Lineup_Analysis__1940.twbr └── Standard Run │ ├── PredictionsWeek1.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek2.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek3.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek4.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek5.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek6.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek7.csv │ ├── Standard Lineup Analysis.twb │ └── aggregated_lineups_standard.csv ├── NBA ├── Input │ └── Projections │ │ └── Projection_10172017.csv ├── Optimization │ ├── Prediction_10172017.csv │ ├── optimize.py │ ├── player.py │ └── player.pyc └── Predictions │ └── Prediction_10172017.csv ├── Optimization ├── .ipynb_checkpoints │ └── Untitled-checkpoint.ipynb ├── 2f7b05a8d1a6430b9ff7fa3951d35c46-pulp.mps ├── 2f7b05a8d1a6430b9ff7fa3951d35c46-pulp.sol ├── 416617172bd54a78817ebe54c762396f-pulp.mps ├── MegaPredictions.csv ├── MegaPredictions_3.csv ├── c5502fa34cfc4abfa5332b0db779e52d-pulp.mps ├── c5502fa34cfc4abfa5332b0db779e52d-pulp.sol ├── dc0753b6297f49e39c508e38f1772c95-pulp.mps ├── draftkings.py ├── draftkings.pyc ├── optimize.py ├── optimize.pyc ├── optimize_documentation.html ├── optimize_documentation.py ├── plot actual versus predicted.py └── resultsParralel │ ├── PredictionsWeek1.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek2.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek3.csv │ ├── PredictionsWeek4.csv │ └── PredictionsWeek5.csv ├── Predictions ├── .RData ├── .Rhistory ├── RF_Tuning.py ├── Random Forest Predictions.R ├── Regression Tree Predictions.R ├── currwkdata.csv ├── data pull from ScrapR.R ├── newdata.csv ├── newfile.txt ├── old │ ├── MegaPredictionsWeek4_Sun.csv │ ├── MegaPredictions_Week4.csv │ ├── prediction_detailed_NoStacking.csv │ └── prediction_detailed_Stacking_QBWR1.csv ├── pbp.R ├── qbdata.csv ├── randomforest.py ├── rbdata.csv ├── res.png ├── spg.R ├── spg2009_2016.csv ├── tedata.csv └── wrdata.csv ├── README.md ├── Rscripts ├── Contest Analysis.R ├── aggregate lineups.py ├── data_prep.R ├── position_fpt_breakdown.R ├── pull_last_n_games_data.R ├── qb_data_pull.R └── wr_prediction.R └── Web Scraping ├── addActual.py ├── defense └── defense.py /.gitattributes: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- https://raw.githubusercontent.com/mattbrondum/Fantasy-Football-Optimization/HEAD/.gitattributes -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- /2016 Data/2016 Season Data/Expert Analysis.xlsx: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- https://raw.githubusercontent.com/mattbrondum/Fantasy-Football-Optimization/HEAD/2016 Data/2016 Season Data/Expert Analysis.xlsx -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- /2016 Data/2016 Season 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