├── .gitignore ├── 01-overview ├── 01-overview.Rmd ├── 01-overview.html ├── 01-overview.pdf ├── figs │ ├── bds.png │ ├── books.png │ ├── comments.gif │ ├── datacamp1.gif │ ├── discussions.gif │ ├── homepage.gif │ ├── hrnn.png │ ├── kaggle.gif │ ├── priemer.png │ ├── primer.png │ ├── repo.gif │ ├── rstudiocloud.gif │ └── susan_sendhil.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── refs │ └── refs.bib ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 02-basic-ml-concepts ├── 02-basic-ml-concepts.Rmd ├── 02-basic-ml-concepts.html ├── 02-basic-ml-concepts.pdf ├── 02-basic-ml-concepts_files │ └── figure-html │ │ ├── big_n_plot-1..svg │ │ ├── dag1-1..svg │ │ ├── dag2-1..svg │ │ ├── justfit-1..svg │ │ ├── overfit-1..svg │ │ ├── scatter-1..svg │ │ ├── scatter_split-1..svg │ │ ├── underfit-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-11-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-12-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-13-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-14-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-15-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-16-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-17-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-18-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-19-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-20-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-22-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-23-1..svg │ │ └── unnamed-chunk-24-1..svg ├── figs │ ├── DL-ML-AI.png │ ├── biasvariance.eps │ ├── biasvariance.png │ ├── biasvariance.svg │ ├── biasvariance1.png │ ├── clustInflationCropped.jpg │ ├── comments.gif │ ├── frames.jpg │ ├── hrnn.png │ ├── matrix.jpeg │ ├── mltypes.png │ ├── oecd.png │ ├── spam.png │ ├── train_cross_validate.png │ ├── train_cross_validate.svg │ ├── train_test.png │ ├── train_test.svg │ ├── train_validate.png │ ├── train_validate.svg │ └── venn.jpg ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── refs │ └── refs.bib ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 03-reprod-vc ├── 03-reprod-vc.Rmd ├── 03-reprod-vc.html ├── 03-reprod-vc.pdf ├── figs │ ├── pipe.jpg │ ├── pipe2.png │ └── tidyverse.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── refs │ └── refs.bib ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 04-ml-workflow ├── 04-ml-workflow.Rmd ├── 04-ml-workflow.html ├── 04-ml-workflow.pdf ├── 04-ml-workflow_files │ └── figure-html │ │ ├── cv-1..svg │ │ ├── cv_plot-1..svg │ │ ├── hist-1..svg │ │ ├── pairs-1..svg │ │ ├── poly-1..svg │ │ ├── resid-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-1-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-10-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-11-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-12-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-13-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-16-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-17-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-18-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-19-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-2-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-20-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-21-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-23-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-24-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-25-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-26-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-27-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-28-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-29-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-3-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-4-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-7-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-8-1..svg │ │ └── unnamed-chunk-9-1..svg ├── data │ └── BostonHousing.csv ├── figs │ ├── boston.jpg │ └── tidymodels.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 05-regression-regularization ├── 05-prepare-browser-data.Rmd ├── 05-prepare-browser-data.html ├── 05-regression-regularization.Rmd ├── 05-regression-regularization.html ├── 05-regression-regularization.pdf ├── 05-regression-regularization_files │ └── figure-html │ │ ├── cv_lasso-1..svg │ │ ├── cv_ridge-1..svg │ │ ├── lasso-1..svg │ │ ├── pca-1..svg │ │ ├── pcr-1..svg │ │ ├── pcr-lasso-1..svg │ │ ├── pls-1..svg │ │ ├── plsr-1..svg │ │ ├── ridge-1..svg │ │ ├── scree-1..svg │ │ ├── step-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-10-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-11-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-12-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-13-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-14-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-15-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-16-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-17-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-18-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-27-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-30-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-31-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-32-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-33-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-34-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-35-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-36-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-37-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-38-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-39-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-40-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-41-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-7-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-8-1..svg │ │ └── unnamed-chunk-9-1..svg ├── 05-simulations.Rmd ├── 05-simulations.html ├── 05-tidymodels-workflow.Rmd ├── 05-tidymodels-workflow.html ├── data │ ├── browser-all.csv │ ├── browser-domains.csv │ ├── browser-sample.csv │ ├── browser-sites.txt │ ├── browser-totalspend.csv │ ├── nbc_demographics.csv │ ├── nbc_pilotsurvey.csv │ └── nbc_showdetails.csv ├── figs │ ├── housing1.png │ ├── housing2.png │ ├── housing3.png │ ├── housing4.png │ ├── housing5.png │ ├── lassofolds.png │ ├── lassovsridge.png │ ├── pca.gif │ ├── priors.png │ ├── ridge.png │ ├── soft.png │ └── sparsebooks3.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 06-classification ├── 06-classification.Rmd ├── 06-classification.html ├── 06-classification.pdf ├── 06-classification_files │ └── figure-html │ │ ├── age-1..svg │ │ ├── box-1..svg │ │ ├── box_fgl-1..svg │ │ ├── cv_mult-1..svg │ │ ├── fever-1..svg │ │ ├── mult_roc-1..svg │ │ ├── roc_curve-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-10-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-15-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-16-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-21-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-22-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-28-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-29-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-32-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-33-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-37-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-38-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-8-1..svg │ │ └── unnamed-chunk-9-1..svg ├── 06-tidymodels-workflow-covid.Rmd ├── 06-tidymodels-workflow-covid.html ├── 06-tidymodels-workflow-credit.Rmd ├── MultinomialExample.RData ├── data │ ├── corona_tested_individuals_ver_002.xlsx │ ├── covid_proc.csv │ └── credit.csv ├── figs │ ├── auc.png │ ├── deviance.png │ └── roc.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 07-trees-forests ├── 07-trees-forests.Rmd ├── 07-trees-forests.html ├── 07-trees-forests.pdf ├── 07-trees-forests_files │ └── figure-html │ │ ├── cp0-1..svg │ │ ├── cp1-1..svg │ │ ├── cp_cv-1..svg │ │ ├── cp_pruned-1..svg │ │ ├── fourway-1..svg │ │ ├── mult-1..svg │ │ ├── noway-1..svg │ │ ├── rf_vip-1..svg │ │ ├── threeway-1..svg │ │ ├── titanic-1..svg │ │ ├── titanic2-1..svg │ │ ├── titanic_tree-1..svg │ │ ├── tree2-1..svg │ │ ├── twoway-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-1-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-10-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-11-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-12-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-14-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-18-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-2-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-21-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-22-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-25-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-28-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-3-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-4-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-6-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-7-1..svg │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-8-1..svg │ │ └── vip-1..svg ├── data │ └── titanic_varian.csv ├── figs │ └── partitions.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 08-causal-inference ├── 08-causal-inference.Rmd ├── 08-causal-inference.html ├── 08-causal-inference.pdf ├── 08-causal-inference_files │ └── figure-html │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-15-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-16-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-21-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-22-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-23-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-24-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-26-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-28-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-31-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-33-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-35-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-38-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-40-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-42-1.png │ │ └── unnamed-chunk-45-1.png ├── data │ ├── oregonhie_descriptive_vars.dta │ ├── oregonhie_stateprograms_vars.dta │ └── oregonhie_survey12m_vars.dta ├── figs │ ├── angrist_1.png │ ├── angrist_2.png │ ├── iv.png │ ├── iv1.png │ ├── iv2.png │ ├── lassofolds.png │ ├── pearl.png │ ├── pitt-dags.jpg │ ├── roads.png │ ├── rubin-pearl.png │ ├── rubin.png │ ├── sim.png │ ├── unconfoundedness.png │ ├── wage-dag.png │ └── xkcd.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 09-lasso-ate ├── 09-lasso-ate.Rmd ├── 09-lasso-ate.html ├── 09-lasso-ate.pdf ├── all.Rdata ├── extras │ └── post-lasso-bias.pdf ├── figs │ ├── angrist_1.png │ ├── angrist_2.png │ ├── dml.png │ ├── double_lasso.png │ ├── lassofolds.png │ ├── lassonormal.png │ ├── naive_lasso.png │ ├── roads.png │ ├── sparsebooks.png │ └── sparsebooks3.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── refs │ └── refs.bib ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 10-trees-cate ├── 10-trees-cate.Rmd ├── 10-trees-cate.html ├── 10-trees-cate.pdf ├── 10-trees-cate_files │ └── figure-html │ │ ├── coefs-1.png │ │ ├── unnamed-chunk-14-1.png │ │ └── unnamed-chunk-15-1.png ├── data │ ├── oregonhie_descriptive_vars.dta │ ├── oregonhie_stateprograms_vars.dta │ └── oregonhie_survey12m_vars.dta ├── figs │ ├── cate_xs.png │ └── vote_mail.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── refs │ └── refs.bib ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 11-text-mining ├── 11-hands-on-text-mining.Rmd ├── 11-text-mining.Rmd ├── 11-text-mining.html ├── 11-text-mining.pdf ├── data │ └── rate-changes.xlsx ├── docs │ ├── 2011-01.pdf │ ├── 2011-02.pdf │ ├── 2011-03.pdf │ ├── 2011-04.pdf │ ├── 2011-05.pdf │ ├── 2011-06.pdf │ ├── 2011-07.pdf │ ├── 2011-08.pdf │ ├── 2011-09.pdf │ ├── 2011-10.pdf │ ├── 2011-11.pdf │ ├── 2011-12.pdf │ ├── 2012-01.pdf │ ├── 2012-02.pdf │ ├── 2012-03.pdf │ ├── 2012-04.pdf │ ├── 2012-05.pdf │ ├── 2012-06.pdf │ ├── 2012-07.pdf │ ├── 2012-08.pdf │ ├── 2012-09.pdf │ ├── 2012-10.pdf │ ├── 2012-11.pdf │ ├── 2012-12.pdf │ ├── 2013-01.pdf │ ├── 2013-02.pdf │ ├── 2013-03.pdf │ ├── 2013-04.pdf │ ├── 2013-06.pdf │ ├── 2013-07.pdf │ ├── 2013-08.pdf │ ├── 2013-09.pdf │ ├── 2013-10.pdf │ ├── 2013-11.pdf │ ├── 2013-12.pdf │ ├── 2014-01.pdf │ ├── 2014-02.pdf │ ├── 2014-03.pdf │ ├── 2014-04.pdf │ ├── 2014-05.pdf │ ├── 2014-06.pdf │ ├── 2014-07.pdf │ ├── 2014-08.pdf │ ├── 2014-09.pdf │ ├── 2014-10.pdf │ ├── 2014-11.pdf │ ├── 2014-12.pdf │ ├── 2015-01.pdf │ ├── 2015-02.pdf │ ├── 2015-03.pdf │ ├── 2015-04.pdf │ ├── 2015-05.pdf │ ├── 2015-06.pdf │ ├── 2015-07.pdf │ ├── 2015-08.pdf │ ├── 2015-09.pdf │ ├── 2015-10.pdf │ ├── 2015-11.pdf │ ├── 2015-12.pdf │ ├── 2016-01.pdf │ ├── 2016-02.pdf │ ├── 2016-03.pdf │ ├── 2016-04.pdf │ ├── 2016-05.pdf │ ├── 2016-06.pdf │ ├── 2016-07.pdf │ ├── 2016-08.pdf │ ├── 2016-09.pdf │ ├── 2016-10.pdf │ ├── 2016-11.pdf │ ├── 2016-12.pdf │ ├── 2017-01.pdf │ ├── 2017-02.pdf │ ├── 2017-03.pdf │ ├── 2017-04.pdf │ ├── 2017-06.pdf │ ├── 2017-07.pdf │ ├── 2017-09.pdf │ ├── 2017-11.pdf │ └── 2017-12.pdf ├── figs │ ├── DLDA_science.png │ ├── DynLDA.png │ ├── LDA.png │ ├── box.png │ ├── corrLDA.png │ ├── docs_folder.png │ ├── hansen_count.png │ ├── hansen_pro.png │ ├── hansen_table_V.png │ ├── hansen_table_VI.png │ ├── intuition0.png │ ├── intuition1.png │ ├── intuition2.png │ ├── plates.png │ ├── sLDA.png │ ├── spam.png │ └── temp.png ├── funcs │ └── optimal_k.R ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── optimal_k.R ├── refs │ └── refs.bib ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── 12-pred-policy ├── 12-pred-policy.Rmd ├── 12-pred-policy.html ├── 12-pred-policy.pdf ├── figs │ ├── fairness.jpg │ ├── fig1.png │ ├── fig2.png │ ├── fp.png │ ├── impos1.jpeg │ ├── impos2.jpeg │ ├── impos3.jpeg │ ├── joint.png │ ├── mytake.svg │ ├── mytake0.png │ ├── mytake0.svg │ ├── mytake1.png │ ├── propublica.png │ ├── rain.png │ ├── table2_hip.png │ ├── table2_hip_cont.png │ └── table2_hip_cont_2.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.woff │ │ │ └── fa-solid-900.woff2 │ ├── header-attrs │ │ └── header-attrs.js │ └── remark-css │ │ └── default.css ├── refs │ └── refs.bib ├── slides-to-pdf.R └── style │ ├── middlebury-fonts.css │ └── middlebury.css ├── LICENSE ├── README.html ├── README.md ├── a-kaggle ├── a-kaggle.Rmd ├── a-kaggle.html ├── a-kaggle.pdf ├── data │ ├── sample_submission.csv │ ├── test.csv │ └── train.csv ├── figs │ ├── ml4econ-kaggle.png │ ├── mse.png │ ├── titanic.jpg │ └── tracking.png ├── libs │ ├── anchor-sections │ │ ├── anchor-sections.css │ │ └── anchor-sections.js │ ├── font-awesome │ │ ├── css │ │ │ ├── all.css │ │ │ └── v4-shims.css │ │ └── webfonts │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-brands-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.eot │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.svg │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.ttf │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff │ │ │ ├── fa-regular-400.woff2 │ │ │ ├── fa-solid-900.eot │ │ │ 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