├── README.md ├── data ├── conversion_data.csv └── fatality_data.csv ├── driving_fatalities ├── .ipynb_checkpoints │ └── self_driving_fatalities-checkpoint.ipynb ├── README.md ├── fatality_data.csv └── self_driving_fatalities.ipynb ├── environment.yml ├── notebooks ├── .DS_Store ├── .ipynb_checkpoints │ ├── 1. Introduction to PyMC3-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── 2. Markov Chain Monte Carlo-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── 3. Theano-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── 6. Model Checking-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── Bayesian_AB_Testing-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── Bayesian_Workflow-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── Case Study 1- Bayesian_Changepoint_Detection-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── Model Building with PyMC3-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── b. Multilevel Modeling-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── hierachical_bayesian_model_advertising-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── nuts_and_metropolis-checkpoint.ipynb │ └── self_driving_fatalities-checkpoint.ipynb ├── 1. Introduction to PyMC3.ipynb ├── 2. Markov Chain Monte Carlo.ipynb ├── 3. Theano.ipynb ├── 6. Model Checking.ipynb ├── Bayesian_AB_Testing.ipynb ├── Bayesian_Workflow.ipynb ├── Case Study 1- Bayesian_Changepoint_Detection.ipynb ├── Introduction_to_AB_Testing.ipynb ├── Model Building with PyMC3.ipynb ├── a. BEST.ipynb ├── b. Multilevel Modeling.ipynb ├── c. Bayesian Neural Network.ipynb ├── fatality.csv ├── hierachical_bayesian_model_advertising.ipynb ├── images │ ├── 95_ci_driving_cars.png │ ├── Beta_distribution_pdf.svg │ ├── Gamma_distribution_pdf.svg │ ├── bayes_formula.png │ ├── binary_doubling.png │ ├── boxloop.png │ ├── f.png │ ├── hmc.png │ ├── nuts.png │ └── rejection_sampling.png ├── mcmc-animate.gif ├── mcmc.sqlite ├── nuts_and_metropolis.ipynb ├── poisson_dag.png ├── puppy_steps.ipynb ├── pymc38 │ ├── .ipynb_checkpoints │ │ ├── shared_variables-checkpoint.ipynb │ │ ├── supply_chain-checkpoint.ipynb │ │ └── supply_chain_example_plastic-checkpoint.ipynb │ ├── 1. Introduction to PyMC3.ipynb │ ├── 3. 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